After the last few days of average to below-average temperatures, conditions quickly warmed up to the low 80s today with another chance to reach 80 on Friday. However, with these warm and summer-like conditions bring the threat of thunderstorms, with the small possibility that some may become severe.
Simulated Reflectivity taken from the HRRR model at 8 PM EST (Source – UMD TROWAL)
Through Tonight: Conditions will still feel slightly muggy around our area as storms begin to develop to our west. A couple of models show a line of storms approaching our area between 8-10 PM with heavy rain and lightning, however the storms should not reach severe levels. Lows will stay on the warm side overnight with temperatures in the mid 60s and dewpoints in the low 60s.
Tomorrow (Friday): Another warm day is in store for our area with even muggier conditions, making it feel like mid-summer rather than late spring. Highs will reach the low 80s under partly to mostly cloudy skies. As thunderstorm chances increase throughout the day, some will start popping up around our area around 4-5 pm and will progress eastward into the evening.
Simulated reflectivity from the Terp-WRF showing storm activity around our area at 5 PM EST (Source – TROWAL UMD)
Elsewhere In the Country: The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has given an enhanced risk for storms in the southern Plains Friday as another low pressure system takes shape in the Midwest. Main threats include severe wind, hail, and the possibility for some tornadoes.
Convective Outlook for Day 2 (Friday) (Source – Storm Prediction Center)