{"id":8260,"date":"2025-02-11T06:45:00","date_gmt":"2025-02-11T11:45:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/weather.umd.edu\/wordpress\/?p=8260"},"modified":"2025-02-11T07:06:14","modified_gmt":"2025-02-11T12:06:14","slug":"morning-update-accumulating-snow-likely-this-evening-into-tonight","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/weather.umd.edu\/wordpress\/2025\/02\/11\/morning-update-accumulating-snow-likely-this-evening-into-tonight\/","title":{"rendered":"Morning Update: Accumulating Snow Likely This Evening Into Tonight!"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><b>Today:<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This morning will start out dry with some cloud cover. As we go into midday, temps should warm rather quickly into the low 40s. Precipitation will gradually fill in from the southwest as low pressure develops to our south and the surface becomes moist, and it may in fact start briefly as a wintry mix around 1 or 2 p.m. given the temperatures. A quick changeover to snow is expected and it will probably begin sticking to the grass and cars in the late afternoon and early evening.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><b>Tonight:<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Snow, perhaps moderate at times (rates of 0.5-1 inch per hour), will continue into the overnight and is expected to taper off by dawn. Lows should dip down into the mid 20s so it will have no issues sticking to all surfaces. We\u2019re expecting totals of 3-6 inches when all is said and done, so make sure to enjoy it Terps!<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><b>Wednesday:<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Widespread cloud cover should persist in advance of our next system (no rest for the weary!), but most of the day is expected to remain dry &#8211; plenty of time for snowball fights and snowman building. Highs should only get up into the mid to upper 30s, but leaning on the colder side given all the snow cover.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A wintry mix is likely to begin in the early evening with either snow or sleet as the cold air tries to stick around. However, a quick changeover to plain rain is forecast with the strengthening low pressure feeding warm air into the area. The steady rain should continue well into the night &#8211; all the more reason to enjoy the snow during the day before it gets washed away!<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><b>Looking ahead:<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Things should finally slow down late this week &#8211; temps are likely to dip slightly below normal on Friday and early Saturday behind our rainstorm. However, more precipitation is in the forecast for most of the weekend (late Saturday into Sunday), so be sure to bring an umbrella! Taking a very early stab at the forecast for early next week, we could be looking at a more potent cold shot Monday &amp; Tuesday behind that heavy wet weather. Stay tuned!<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><b>Discussion:<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Let\u2019s take a look at water vapor satellite imagery to get an idea of our key players over the next couple of days.<\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_8264\" style=\"width: 510px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-8264\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-8264\" src=\"https:\/\/weather.umd.edu\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/veer1-500x278.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"278\" srcset=\"https:\/\/weather.umd.edu\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/veer1-500x278.jpg 500w, https:\/\/weather.umd.edu\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/veer1.jpg 512w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-8264\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><span style=\"color: #999999;\"><em>Via https:\/\/weather.cod.edu\/satrad<\/em><\/span><\/p><\/div>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">All the X\u2019s I\u2019ve marked are basically pieces of energy in the upper troposphere (~18,000 feet), and these mark wherever there\u2019s probably going to be disturbed weather at the surface.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Starting with the top right, the system that brought us some very light rain\/icing back on Saturday has become a very strong low pressure system, and the trailing cold front brought us some fairly cold weather yesterday (Monday) and sets the stage for our precipitation to come down in the form of snow.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In the bottom left corner, we have our main system that will bring us snow tonight. The main thing with this feature is that it\u2019s not impressively strong &#8211; the appreciable moisture out ahead of it (light blues\/whites over the central plains) will be responsible for the first wave of precipitation.<\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_8265\" style=\"width: 510px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-8265\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-8265\" src=\"https:\/\/weather.umd.edu\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/veer2-500x369.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"369\" srcset=\"https:\/\/weather.umd.edu\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/veer2-500x369.jpg 500w, https:\/\/weather.umd.edu\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/veer2.jpg 512w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-8265\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><span style=\"color: #999999;\"><em>Via www.polarwx.com<\/em><\/span><\/p><\/div>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The low pressure system is expected to be quite weak, so why are we still expected to get a good snowstorm? Well, that\u2019s because of a huge temperature difference in the middle of the country. Here, we\u2019re looking at a model forecast a few thousand feet above our heads. Notice how cold it is just to our north and the warmth to our south! All that gulf moisture will ride gently up and over that cold air (since it\u2019s less dense) &#8211; that\u2019s how you get snow. To visualize it better:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-8270 size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/weather.umd.edu\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/IMG_1097-500x218.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"218\" srcset=\"https:\/\/weather.umd.edu\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/IMG_1097-500x218.jpg 500w, https:\/\/weather.umd.edu\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/IMG_1097-800x349.jpg 800w, https:\/\/weather.umd.edu\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/IMG_1097.jpg 1396w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Now let\u2019s talk snow totals. The best chance for at least 6\u201d would be just to our south &#8211; below is the median for all the models blended together. The reason I went with a slightly low range (3-6\u201d) for us is to account for temperatures limiting stickage for the first 2-3 hours of precipitation. At such a close range, there\u2019s generally good confidence across the board for the low end amount to verify at the very least.<\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_8266\" style=\"width: 510px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-8266\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-8266\" src=\"https:\/\/weather.umd.edu\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/veer3-500x378.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"378\" srcset=\"https:\/\/weather.umd.edu\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/veer3-500x378.jpg 500w, https:\/\/weather.umd.edu\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/veer3.jpg 512w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-8266\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><span style=\"color: #999999;\"><em>Via www.polarwx.com<\/em><\/span><\/p><\/div>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">What about the rain following soon after? Since there was no real strong low pressure with tonight\u2019s snow, it doesn\u2019t usher in as much cold either. A much stronger system develops well to our west, and that leftover cold air gets wiped away by strong winds from the south during the day on Wednesday.<\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_8301\" style=\"width: 510px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-8301\" class=\"wp-image-8301 size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/weather.umd.edu\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/ecmwf_f60-500x368.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"368\" srcset=\"https:\/\/weather.umd.edu\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/ecmwf_f60-500x368.jpg 500w, https:\/\/weather.umd.edu\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/ecmwf_f60-800x590.jpg 800w, https:\/\/weather.umd.edu\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/ecmwf_f60.jpg 1395w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-8301\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><span style=\"color: #999999;\"><em>Via www.polarwx.com<\/em><\/span><\/p><\/div>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That\u2019s all for now! Enjoy the snow later today and tonight Terps, and I hope my first article was insightful \ud83d\ude42<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Be sure to stay up to date with our posts throughout the semester!<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">&#8211; Veer T<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><em><span style=\"color: #999999;\">Featured image via Frances Schoenly<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Today: This morning will start out dry with some cloud cover. As we go into midday, temps should warm rather quickly into the low 40s. Precipitation will gradually fill in from the southwest as low pressure develops to our south&hellip; <br \/><a class=\"read-more-button\" href=\"https:\/\/weather.umd.edu\/wordpress\/2025\/02\/11\/morning-update-accumulating-snow-likely-this-evening-into-tonight\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":92,"featured_media":8287,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":false,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[4],"tags":[63,6,48,22],"class_list":["post-8260","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-weather-discussion","tag-cold","tag-snow","tag-umd","tag-weather"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/weather.umd.edu\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/DSC_6644.jpg","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/weather.umd.edu\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8260","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/weather.umd.edu\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/weather.umd.edu\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/weather.umd.edu\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/92"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/weather.umd.edu\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8260"}],"version-history":[{"count":27,"href":"https:\/\/weather.umd.edu\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8260\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8304,"href":"https:\/\/weather.umd.edu\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8260\/revisions\/8304"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/weather.umd.edu\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8287"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/weather.umd.edu\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8260"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/weather.umd.edu\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8260"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/weather.umd.edu\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8260"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}